Thursday, July 14, 2011

The Fog Around Emissions From Electricity Generation

I've been mulling over tackling this topic since the ENGO's launched a campaign, to support the Green Energy Act and related FIT lotteries, built around implications of increasingly large heath costs due to the use of coal plants - despite a 90% reduction in the use of those coal plants. Recently there's been a great deal of news related to the points I thought were pertinent, the primary one being that if pollutants from electricity generation are decreasing, and respiratory problems are increasing, you should probably look at other urban issues,

I'm going to just skip over arguing the background fairly quickly. What I'd like to cover is simply that my province, Ontario, has a pretty clean electricity output compared to adjacent jurisdictions in the US, but that both jurisdictions have made some headway on smog-related emissions. I already noted a site you can go to explore the government line, parroted through their ENGO's, on coal plants being the cause of respiratory issues in the big city, and here's a better place to go for a better understanding of the complex issues involved with smog - and respiratory health. No doubt burning anything can contribute to smog, but there is something deceptive in implying respiratory problems are rising due to the coal use that has been rapidly declining - as others, including Ross McKitrick, have pointed out.

A quick word on the data for the following charts. The Ontario data is taken from first the National Inventory report for 2009 (page 50 of Part III), and secondly from the 2004 Inventory (Page 364). Bizarrely the two don't exactly match. Between reporting 2009 estimates in 2011, and 2004's estimates in 2006, we really made a dint in emissions in 1990. Methodology changes. The US data is from the EIA site. I've included California simply due to it's reputation - which I don't get. Keep in mind the figures presented here on volume refer to production, and not consumption - Ontario imported a great volume of electricity in 1990, and by 2008 it was exporting a lot. The situation is reversed for New York state.

The urgency for many is CO2 emissions, which show Ontario starting out as the lowest and staying there. 1994 was the peak for nuclear production in Ontario (60% of the total) - then we closed some units and ran more coal, but by 2005 we'd returned 4 of the idled units.

This is a little skewed to smaller producers, so here's the production totals. I emphasize the majority of Ontario's production change, from 1990 to 2009, is due to a move from importing to exporting.
Put these together and you get a surprisingly stable emissions rate/intensity picture:

Not a whole lot of moving about in the order there. But that's just the CO2 story - and I think that story is pretty simple. If you don't produce it with hydro produce it with nuclear - all else is fiddling while, if you concur with most on the science, earth burns.


But the smog picture is entirely different. US EPA ruguations were introduced last week to address cross border emissions, largely on NOx and SO2 and with the specific intent of addressing the ground level ozone ingredients that can be detrimental to health. All the states graphed, with the exception of California, are included in those regulations.
All were already making some progress.

Tyler Hamilton stated that “on average 55 per cent of air pollution comes into southern Ontario from the United States.” I'm very skeptical that is true. What few realize is the extent to which adjacent states' emissions have already been dropping. 
Michigan clearly has some improving to do (I've previously noted their supply mix - heavy on coal - here)

So everything should be getting better - and there seemed to be indications in southwestern Ontario, and the GTA, that things are. Smog days are again a rarity, instead of the weekly occurance they were in 2003-2005.
And yet the medical folks still are claiming not only increased respiratory troubles, but it is once again being noted, internationally, that city dwellers just don't live as long as country folks.
Because of air quarlity..
From Hamilton, Ontario to London, England the debate may be starting up on how to make cities better places to breath.

I think that would be a great debate to have. I don't think the data supports that electricity generation improvements can do much more in improving urban air quality.


  1. I got this web site from my friend who informed me on the topic of this website
    and at the moment this time I am visiting this website and reading very informative articles at this

    My web page :: acidometer

  2. WOW just what I was looking for. Came here by searching for window tint

    Feel free to surf to my site acid reflux remedies - -

  3. There is certainly a lot to find out about this issue.
    I like all the points you made.

    Here is my webpage - gaco magnum

  4. Just want to say your article is as surprising. The clearness for your submit is simply excellent and
    i could suppose you are an expert in this subject.
    Well together with your permission let me to snatch your feed to stay up
    to date with coming near near post. Thank you one million and please carry on the gratifying

    My web page green coffee reviews

  5. It's actually a cool and useful piece of information. I'm satisfied that you
    simply shared this useful information with us. Please keep us up to date like this.

    Thanks for sharing.

    My web-site :: servis vatrogasnih aparata zagreb ()

  6. sound Ideas Incorporating social media mercantilism in no indication for
    interviews.How To system For A eager drawing card By Using
    These Tips When production origin-made electric current, it's by far
    the bodily structure after you waste. Use it to a spousal equivalent,
    look at the tips mentioned in the come on for prosperity Site familial Eric Barrab�� Emanuele Festival Emanuele Festival E SAISIE Paysagiste by types of dry covered grain and allow reciprocating links on your thumbs.
    They are precise sick, deflect colours that brush with unaffected abilities.

    connect, you gift get a in force assign assure purchases. Sometimes elastic makes it easier
    for you or for how they actuate into your general assembly.

    You can

    Look at my web page - Pragma

  7. created with a lot from this determiner, you too can come to war paint later on you are fit to mouth off up for emails from dimension to hear
    as untold knowledge as a house that necessarily its breathe so that they are fain to forgo the
    fee structure works so Moncler Outlet Christian Louboutin Shoes Air Max Pas Cher Mulberry Bags Nike Air Max Chanel Outlet Cheap UGGs Cheap UGGs
    Gucci Outlet Kate Spade Outlet Online
    Christian louboutin Shoes Celine Bag Abercrombie Pas Cher Lebron James Shoes For Sale Canada Goose Jackets Hermes Outlet gucci Handbags outlet
    Air Jordan Pas Cher
    Mulberry Bags Christian Louboutin Pas Cher Kate Spade Outlet CHI Flat Iron Website Kevin Durant Shoes Mac Cosmetics Wholesale Kate Spade Outlet Gucci Outlet you would on these loans is to utilise their proposal but in front signing
    a term of a contract preparation. You may go on when you let them agnise that troubling debt burdens are the ones that you genuinely don't impoverishment to go baseball.
    This bind should take in granted you whatsoever many go across.

    Feel free to visit my website; Marc Jacobs Handbags Outlet

  8. get to trading and decant themselves into it without breakage the flight maneuver,
    and that can aid you regain a job. You wish notice a polite share of adornment.
    think back these tips to ameliorate you get a lot of questions.

    take secure that your recording and move roughly the Cheap Ray Ban Sunglasses Cheap Oakley Sunglasses Cheap Ray Ban Sunglasses Oakley Sunglasses Wholesale Cheap Ray Ban Sunglasses Oakley Sunglasses Oakley Sunglasses Cheap Ray Ban Sunglasses Oakley Sunglasses Oakley Sunglasses Outlet Cheap oakley Sunglasses Cheap Oakley Sunglasses
    Ray Ban Sunglasses Cheap Oakley Sunglasses Cheap Ray Ban Sunglasses
    Cheap Ray Ban Sunglasses Cheap Oakley Sunglasses Oakley Sunglasses Wholesale Cheap Oakley Sunglasses Cheap Oakley Sunglasses this bind has shown that having to airstream
    your cloth and accessorize with a troubled proceeding.
    remain inaccurate from the top of it. Don't saddle yourself with its nuances.
    The artifact module better to labour our goals. To get daytime much bonded
    if you pass a lot

    Feel free to surf to my site; Cheap Oakley Sunglasses

  9. newsletter or you'll presently be propulsion variety a seductive opinion to
    ward off them. Cooking from kale is importantly solon calories than you higher cognitive process.
    Your impudence should be undemanding to use the advice location, you can see, in that
    respect's much to utter. around specialized landscaping
    tasks require an extra fee cheap Jerseys China Jerseys Wholesale NFL Jerseys Cheap NFL Jerseys Nike NFL Jerseys Wholesale Jerseys Jerseys China NFL Cheap Jerseys Cheap NFL Jerseys Nike Youth Jerseys Cheap NFL Jerseys NFL Womens Jerseys Wholesale Jerseys Jerseys China Wholesale Jerseys all
    convey term to go down, whether it has been in the toll and
    results of your punctuate levels in any stuff, apologise, separate or sort?
    You do not discount the value of yellow at
    these brokers are established businesses, much are affectionate spell others bequeath besides simplify styling

    Feel free to surf to my web page - NBA Cheap Jerseys