Showing posts with label Lecce. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Lecce. Show all posts

Saturday, September 7, 2024

Will the new version of Ontario Energy Minister prove to be Smitherman 2.0?

"Minister Lecce needs to step back and gain knowledge on the existing costs to us Ontarians of our electricity needs instead of charging ahead..." -Parker Gallant
Parker and I have been communicating on Ontario’s electricity sector for over 13 years. We both started due to the wreckage of a brash new minister casting aside the policy of a professional planners to boldly undertake a new direction intended to make Ontario a leader in wind and solar energy. Back in 2009 an Integrated Power System Plan (IPSP) was cast aside and a directive from a freshman Energy Minister, and trusted Deputy Premier, signed an enormous 2,500 MW deal with a Korean consortium that was supposed to kick off the rush to 10,700 MW of non-hydro renewables. There is not, anything certain I wish to communicate today, but I have collected and formatted data throughout, so I thought I’d collect a number of the graphics and data sources I’ve been using on social media to communicate the concerns I have about returning to a GEA-era procurement debacle.
“With energy demand growing rapidly, our government is stepping up by advancing our largest energy procurement in our history.” -Stephen Lecce, Minister of Energy and Electrification  [emphasis added]
I don’t generally focus on semantics, but “energy” is used very poorly in Lecce’s communication. Let’s look for “growing rapidly” in annual electricity supply in Ontario over the past 88 years.

Wednesday, July 31, 2024

Ford Channels McGuinty in directives to new Energy Minister

Ontario recently swapped Energy and Education Ministers. Early comments from the new Minister of Energy (and Electrification), Stephen Lecce, indicate a type of student we see far too often in the fields of environment and energy; one willing to take direction without putting much thought, or study, into them. Of particular concern are comments on exporting power. In a recent interview[1] Lecce describes ‘three key priorities” in his “marching orders” from the Premier. Presumably the current Premier, Doug Ford, but maybe not.
First, we are absolutely committed to ensuring an affordable electricity system for families, seniors and small businesses.
Second is the expansion of clean-energy generation for the people of Ontario. We already have one of the cleanest grids on the continent. The vision is to continue to generate more as our population increases, our industry expands and our manufacturing electrifies.
Third is to help build out Ontario as a clean-energy superpower, able to export our energy – as we already do. We’re already a net exporter to New York and other places. We want to strengthen our clean-energy advantage and export technology and electricity around the world, particularly in the United States. [emphasis added]
I have long-standing concerns about exports.My first blog post to garner significant attention, and spur mainstream stories bringing comments from then Premier Dalton McGuinty, reported on the high exports and negative pricing of January 1st, 2011. “A full decade later I was still writing estimates on losses incurred on exporting electricity, which grew rapidly along with the growth in supply spurred by McGuinty’s Green Energy Act. This post is going to build off of another discussion on losses on exports in the context of “affordable electricity for families”, using a presentation I’ve added to reporting built on basic data shared from the system operator (IESO)..

screen capture from Power BI reporting