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A great deal of data in the paper.<br />http://www.babcock.com/library/pdf/BR-1772.pdf<br /><br />David LibbyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9082786308862898980.post-44879301346648603182012-01-18T20:59:35.654-05:002012-01-18T20:59:35.654-05:00David, I came across this just this afternoon, and...David, I came across this just this afternoon, and aside from confusion over units (the US are Mega tons, the Canadian are kt), Belle river and St. Clair emissions (I believe the two plants you note) emit about 15000 kt (M kt - all of Ontario's generating sites emitted about the same in 2011, but I estimate closer to 21000 kt in 2010.<br />The Monroe plant is further south - most of time just upwind of all the turbines on Erie's north shore - and I believe it's one of the USA's top emitters, in 2010 (17850).<br />All 3 US sites are noted as having "Direct Emissions Monitoring"<br />http://tinyurl.com/7pyw7mmScott Lufthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09219859339423144673noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9082786308862898980.post-44208629523604099592012-01-17T20:10:45.803-05:002012-01-17T20:10:45.803-05:00Thanks Scott, That will be interesting to read mor...Thanks Scott, That will be interesting to read more when you have a chance to work on it.<br /><br />I have been past the Detroit Edison plant on the St. Clair River many times. Maybe I shouldn't write this but people should know. There is often a 1000 foot, 60,000 ton lake freighter tied to the dock unloading coal. And another anchored in the river waiting to unload. They don't have to pass through any locks so they like to make them big. This dock also feeds another coal plant about a mile inland. And DE has about 10 coal plants in the Detroit area. I don't think those plants have much in the way of pollution controls. The decade long squabble over Ont coal starts to seem a little ridiculous.<br /><br />David LibbyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9082786308862898980.post-82747326028453368442012-01-15T13:50:54.942-05:002012-01-15T13:50:54.942-05:00Hello David. I don't think you've gotten ...Hello David. I don't think you've gotten it wrong in the least.<br />I can't provide a definitive response, and it's a topic on my 'to write about' list. So I'll skip references for now.<br />From challenging engineers, it is clear that how clean a plant runs is related to the capacity it is running at, and many claim the stops and starts also not only increase emissions, but shorten the life of the asset. <br />If you track down Canada's GHG reporting, you'll find emissions for electricity broken down by province (in Part III of the most recent, released in 2011, but for 2009). If you look at those reports, you'll see the historical figures change somewhat. In some entries on this blog, I calculated at 0.85MT/MWh Coal, 0.5 gas, whereas the draft OSPE draft referenced in this article is claiming 973 and 398 g/kWh (based on a NRC tool to encourage installing renewables). <br />Most emissions intensity forecast I see, and actually most of the costing, for CCGT is done at capacity factors of 85%. Which is ridiculous in the context of Ontario. You correctly point out that when the CCGT runs at lower capacities, it is simply an expensive OCGT (or simple cycle). <br />It seems likely that Ontario will lower emissions by changing its measurements!<br />Without measuring actual emissions, the numbers are just ballpark estimates (Ireland has some data based on heat rates, which I interpret as being far more meaningful - but I'm not an engineer).<br />I would say as a follower of the stat, the numbers out of the US are very clear that states investing in larger wind penetration are NOT reducing SO2 and NOx quicker than those that aren't.<br />I'd also say there was one prominent study that claimed gas would not slow warming due to emissions. That study was a little complicated for most - it was based on methane being a more potent greenhouse gas - but it remains in the atmosphere for a shorter time. <br />My best guess is long-term coal will have a bigger impact on global warming, but within a century. <br />In my opinion, the wisest course is to control the smokestack and quit the moralizing over the fuel.<br />There's non-technical/scientific issues too; there is a coal-fired generating station in Michigan just across the river from Lambton. Shutting down 2 infrequently required cleaner units, within the airshed, strikes me as simply a stupid thing to do.Scott Lufthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09219859339423144673noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9082786308862898980.post-57224706594768906622012-01-15T11:28:22.546-05:002012-01-15T11:28:22.546-05:00Hello Scott,
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